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BASEBALL NOTEBOOK
MID-2007 ROOKIE ANALYSIS
Baseball Notebook is pleased to announce that we have published
our latest "Rookie Analysis" E-Book!
Here's what this E-Book is all about. First, it's unique
in that it's delivered entirely electronically in Adobe .pdf format. That
allows us to include the most recent statistics and information for all the
players considered. It also allows us to produce a product that would be
virtually impossible to print but thanks to the wonder of E-Books, every edition
we've ever published has had more than 600 pages of jam-packed pages (8.5 X 11) of statistics and information.
But it's the substance and not the size that makes it special - In addition to
David Luciani's introduction chapter, explaining some of the concepts in the E-book,
the majority of the book is made up of the following:
- Virtually every current player who still qualified as a big league
rookie as of the publication date and who has played even one game in any full season league between Single-A and Triple-A during the
current minor league season gets a listing. In all, the E-Book typically
usually has
almost 4,000 players listed!
- For every player listed, in addition to all of the player's actual minor league stats
to date this season and
basic stats since the start of 2005, including the player's 2007
actual minor league stats from full-season Single-A on up, you get:
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Each player who hasn't already made it to the
majors (or who hasn't appeared since the end of the 2005 season) is assigned a precise percentage chance of
appearing or reappearing in the majors within the next two years. Of the top 100 ranked players using
this same rating method in 2002, 82 of them appeared in the majors within the two year
time frame. Of the top 20 players listed in terms of 2002 chances to make it to
the majors within two years, all 20 of them did just that. Of the almost
2,000 prospects who got a <1% rating in this category in 2002, only 4 of those players
have since made it to the majors.
We reveal each and every call-up percentage chance
assigned for every prospect. Needless to say, this is a crucial number
in forecasting the more immediate value of prospects in 2008 and 2009 as you
wait for them to reach their projected prime ability.
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For every active player in the edition with at least 100 minor
league at bats since the start of 2007 or 50 minor league innings since then, a
long-term projection is offered that lists precisely what the player's real ability will
be in the year he is projected to be in his prime. More than 1,400 players
usually get such a projection in this report. Beyond that, we
actually tell you exactly what year that prime should actually be! Prospects might peak
as early as age twenty-two and as late as their early thirties, depending on
the type of player they are and how they fit into the signature age
and valuation model.
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For every player who is projected to have any sort of extended big league
career at all (even projected bench-warmers of the future), this E-Book assigns them a unique
"prospect rating" which assigns a value to the quality of career the
player is expected to have. No more not being able to discern the
difference in quality between a #1 and a #2 prospect! This E-Book will
tell you the exact prospect rating assigned to the player, summarizing in a single number the quality of big league career he is likely to
produce. Looking back at our edition of two years ago at this time, our mid-2005 edition top prospect list
published in the BNRA had names in the top fifty
that included Delmon Young, Prince Fielder, Hunter Pence, B.J. Upton, Ian
Snell, Chien-Ming Wang, Chuck James, Justin Germano, Philip Hughes and Shawn Hill
among many others and in fact, Pence was ranked at #10 in that edition two years
ago, six months before he would even begin to start appearing on other top prospect lists
published in the winter after 2005.
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For every hitter, we list the number of minor league games played at each position
(C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, OF, DH) in each of his minor league seasons since the start of
2005.
-
For pitchers who are minor league starters, we project two
possible prime abilities rather than one for many of them, one if the pitcher ends up as a big league starter and
one if he ends up as a big league reliever. We also provide an additional
future projected ERA if the pitcher somehow achieves control ability beyond our
expectations - this way we account for pitchers who have good stuff but control
problems in the "upside" aspect of what we call projected
"control ERA."
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All pitchers for whom we have projected a prime year, in
addition to their prospect rating, get a unique "closer index" rating
which tells you the chances that this pitcher, based on his skills, would end up
as a closer if he ends up in the bullpen in the big leagues. Our mid-2005 edition of this same e-book had Jon Papelbon among the ten highest "closer
index" ratings of any pitcher in the entire edition, even though he had
been a starter throughout his minor league career.
This book offers many lists for quick discovery of the
type of player you're looking for. Among others,
we list the top 30 prospects at each position, the top 99 players most likely
to appear/reappear in the majors within the next two year and the top 500 prospects
overall (yes - that's a top 500 list!) and much, much more!
If you want to order this e-book, we encourage you to check
out two actual sample pages, in this case one page of the hitters
or one page of the pitchers. These sample pages are from the actual
pre-2007 edition of the E-book
so if you can view them, you'll have no problem downloading and
viewing the new actual E-Book the moment you download it (there's also a mini screen capture
from the actual Pre-2007 edition in the
graphic above for Philip Hughes). Click here to look at an
actual page from the previous edition's hitting section or here to see a
page from the previous edition's pitching section to get a taste of what this E-Book will be all about
and then click back in your browser when you're done. Remember that this
is primarily a statistics-based publication and not a scouting guide as there
are several thousand players listed in over 600 pages!
If you're ready to order, remember that this E-Book will be delivered entirely
online, immediately after your purchase is confirmed. Be sure that you type your email address
carefully and please be sure that your spam filters allow emails from
BaseballNotebook.com as downloading instructions will be sent to the email
address you use.
 
Unlike Baseball Notebook's other products, for obvious reasons
due to the nature of E-Books, with the exception of a
cancellation of the product, all sales are final on this product and our
usual money-back-guarantee cannot be extended to this particular product. If you're not sure whether the E-Book is for you, we again
encourage you to check out the sample pages offered above to be sure you can view it and that the type of
material listed above and on the sample pages is what you expect to
receive and are interested in. This E-book is not an essay-style publication and it is 99%
made up of statistical information only, as shown in the example pages.
We accept all major credit cards. To order this E-Book, please choose
the appropriate currency you wish to use.
Click the button below to order the Baseball Notebook Mid-2007 Rookie Analysis for
$17.95 US
Click the button below to order the Baseball Notebook Mid-2007 Rookie Analysis for
$19.95 CANADIAN
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