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Being
Prepared for the Fantasy Draft
by David Luciani
Published March 2, 2005
With many fantasy
drafts and auctions occurring over the next several weeks, it's important
that participants in leagues actually know what it means to be prepared
for the draft, both mentally and physically. Whether you're a
subscriber to our member's section, you can't just print off a series of
lists and expect to go into a fantasy draft or auction as a successful GM
unless you have the pieces in place to succeed. Let's focus on
eleven critical aspects of success in any fantasy auction or draft:
1. You must be
emotionally ready: This is not to say that you need to spend the
prior evening doing mental focus exercises nor does it mean you need to find
some sort of version of inner peace. The key here is to be resolved that you have
a task and that is to assemble a team capable of crushing your
opponents. Anything that distracts you from that is going to be a
certified ticket to mediocrity. If you haven't heard it before, let
me remind you: Get a good night's sleep before the draft! I
know that a good majority of fantasy GMs are up the night before staring
at lists, surfing the net for that extra bit of late news. If you're not ready by two days before, you're not ready
to win. Wake up several hours earlier than you
need to, fresh and ready to go. By virtue of the fact that you're
reading this, I know you're an Internet user so take advantage of the
latest info. All it really takes is a last look at the baseball news
early on the morning of the draft and you'll probably be set. With a
good night's sleep, you're poised to be relaxed and patient in the
draft. I once attended a fantasy auction where one
owner was in a rush to assemble his team so he could "finally go get
some sleep." That's not a winner in the making.
2. Be
organized: Being organized does not mean coming in with a small
library of materials and plunking them down on the table where you know
where each volume can be found. Being organized means that you are able to
consolidate your information in such a way that you can quickly make
decisions about players whose names come up. In a straight draft
league as opposed to an auction, it's less important to know about every
player but you still have to be ready. I can't emphasize enough that
if you're printing ranking lists such as the ones from our member's only
section that this list alone is not going to win you your league, no matter how
good you are. The key is to get a sense of what types of
players are worth what types of value. If on your lists, all
the base-stealers are coming out in the mid teens, then chances are good
that you should be thinking that way. Searching through lists for a
player name can be difficult and though I do not recommend that you
alphabetize your value lists (the reason will follow in item three below),
I do recommend that you have ways to quickly find players and assess what
they are worth to your team.
3. Don't
fall into the "Alphabetizing Trap": I call this the
alphabetizing trap because I've seen it in action so many times. To
expedite consideration of all players, an owner brings an alphabetically
organized list of all the players to the auction. When I spot an
owner such as this who I feel might not be on his game, especially one who has
lots of money to spend on players, I might take a risk and announce the following:
Tino Martinez, $1. What
happens is this owner looks down at his list and behold, in his
alphabetical sort, Tino is listed as being projected to be worth $5,
for example. The owner promptly raises the bid to $3 or $4 or even
$5, everyone else remains silent and suddenly, this owner has picked up
Tino Martinez. What happens is he just filled up his first base slot
and didn't get Tino at a discount (which I would have if I got him for $1)
because he just looked up a player's name and saw he had positive
value. The key here is to organize your lists by position and
within each position in descending order of value. The reason
this is important is because when a player's name comes up, you will be
able to find him quickly, assuming you know what position he plays - and that's when it doesn't hurt to have an alphabetical reference to help you
quickly find out what positions a player qualifies at if you don't know. The idea here is that when an
opponent calls out a name, you
need to be able to quickly consider who's left at that position before
bidding. Especially if you're not drafting using a computer and
draft software, you need to be able to see the quality of players
left. I always use positional lists as opposed to alphabetical
lists. When a player gets taken, I simply cross him off all the
spots he qualifies at and move on. It has made a world of difference
and enables me to recognize that there are still many superior players at
that position who are still available and thus, I often can pass on
positive valued but inferior players.
4. Auctions
Require a Calculator: There's nothing worse than falling behind
in an auction because you can't quickly calculate how much to bid for a
player or worse yet, how much money you have left. If you don't have
a good calculator (I'm not talking about a one inch calculator watch here
that requires the use of a needle to press the buttons), go out and buy
one today with easy to use buttons. Especially if you're going to be
applying my so-called "78% rule" then you're going to need this.
5. Make a
Single Sheet to Track Positions Filled: This is so easy to do
that it's not fair but don't make it complex. You need to know which
opposing teams have which position filled. Much of your success in both
drafts and auctions will come about by knowing where the other teams are
already filled up. Several years ago, I was at a straight draft with
10 teams in the league. Late in the draft, every team but one had
their catcher and utility slots filled and thus, were unable to add any additional
catchers. Sleepy, as I'll call him here, wasn't tracking which
positions were filled on each team. Six other owners still needed a
second baseman but he was the only one who needed a catcher or could even
fit one on to his roster. When
his turn to select a player came up, he selected the best remaining
catcher. That was a wasted pick and by the time the draft came full
circle to him again, four more second basemen were taken. Sleepy
should have known that since no one else had room for catchers, he should
take a second baseman. The best catcher would be waiting for him
right until the last pick if he wanted. The same applies to auction
leagues too. If no one has room to add a certain player, then don't
bring his name up until all your other positions are full. I go an
extra step and track how much money each team has left but reasonably,
that can be tough unless you have a lot of auction experience.
Basically, just make a small grid with each team's position slots across the top
and the names of the owners down the side, preferably in the order the
draft rotates. If you want to be advanced and are quick with a pen,
you can write in which players fill which position but a sheet such as
this can be just as effective if you just box out the other team's filled
slots. Though it's possible they can move players in the draft, it
will give you a better sense of the other teams than if you did nothing at
all.
6. Don't
Get Personally Attached to a Player: This is an excellent way to
lose. Let's say your favorite pitcher is Roger Clemens. You've
owned him in every league you've ever played in and if he were still
pitching at fifty, you'd have to own him. Let's say the bidding
reaches or even exceeds what you think he will be worth to your
team. Let him go. If your goal is to have your favorite player
on your team, rather than win, by all means, have fun and bid $60 for
anyone. You'll meet your goal then and will be quite happy when you
lose.
7. Be
Comfortable: You're not going to the draft/auction for a social
call, where you expect to find your future spouse, though it can happen. Go in ready to spend anywhere from four to twelve hours
assembling a fantasy roster designed to demolish the competition. Wear the tie at the
year end party.
8. Have a
Plan: A plan doesn't mean you plan to win. That's a
goal. A plan is that you're going to go in and get $333 worth of
value for $260, for example (one application of my "78% rule"). The plan relates to the goal and must be flexible but
you have to have some sort of method by which you're going to assemble a
winning team. As experience and statistics have both taught me, if you get
a team for that 78% of its eventual value, you're probably going to be a strong
contender, if not a dominant team.
9. Don't
Overemphasize Balance: Balance is important in fantasy baseball
but don't let a 40 home run guy go to another team because you'd rather
add an extra 10 steals. You can trade the 40 homers for 10 steals
later. Balance, while important, should help you focus your trading
efforts and should also be a tie-breaker when it comes to tough decisions
but in general, go after the player you think will have the most
value.
10. Collect Information During the Draft: Sometimes, perceived value can be important and the nice
thing about an auction, and many veterans even miss this, is that everyone
else in the room is telling you precisely what they think of a certain
player. If a guy bid $41 for Albert Pujols and wouldn't go higher
than that when the bid was raised, then Pujols to this owner is a $41
player, at least at that moment in a time. That means that if he bid
$43 for Johan Santana, he sees Santana as more valuable than Pujols and
likely favors Cy Young type pitching over MVP type hitting ability.
That's useful information down the line, especially in trade
negotiations. Obviously, values change constantly but don't sleep
through the draft while other owners are giving you valuable information
about their opinions about players.
11. Be a
Winner: What I mean by being a winner is that you don't tout
your team immediately after the draft. So often I have attended
drafts where an owner shakes his head with a semi-cocky swagger, speaking
loudly about acquiring Randy Johnson or anyone else with a big name who
has obvious value to everyone. I can virtually guarantee you that at
every draft, there's someone who makes no secret that he/she wants to be awarded the trophy right
there. This is the same owner who at year end will be complaining
about injuries or bad luck or about how the "best team" didn't win the
league. When the draft is over, be relatively silent, say as little
as possible about your team and then let the standings do the
talking. The key here is not to talk like a winner but to be
a winner. The year-end standings will speak for themselves and at
least from my experience (and I like to think of myself as what you could
call 'privately confident'), it drives your opponents crazy to see a
winner who doesn't talk up his team. They always think you fluked
your way into first place... and then you do it again next year. As
Sun Tzu would teach you, you want to encourage your opponents'
arrogance. Be openly skeptical of your team immediately following
the draft, act lucky when you eventually win and then keep doing it every
year.
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